Lake Forest 
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 82.6002
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
215 H Carthage CCIW (11- 5, 86.5) 9-11
222 H Calvin MIAA ( 6-10, 83.7) 10-11
301 A Hope MIAA (11- 5, 86.7) 7-10
305 A Benedictine (IL) NACC ( 6-12, 78.9) 11- 5
311 A Pfeiffer USA South (14- 3, 85.4) 8-14
314 A Guilford ODAC ( 5-13, 79.9) 14-11
320 H Edgewood NACC ( 4-11, 77.3) 17- 9
322 A Beloit NACC ( 4-11, 73.9) 17- 7
326 H MSOE NACC (10- 7, 80.2) 10- 8
329 H Marian (WI) NACC ( 1-12, 72.2) 29- 4
402 A Concordia-Wisconsin NACC (12- 8, 81.7) 13-14
405 A Lawrence NACC ( 4-11, 76.7) 19- 6
412 H Dubuque NACC (11- 7, 81.4) 7-11
416 A Aurora NACC (14- 5, 84.6) 9-10
419 A Cornell College NACC ( 4-11, 74.9) 15- 7
423 H Illinois Tech NACC ( 8- 9, 79.8) 15- 4
426 H MSOE NACC (10- 7, 80.2) 17- 8
430 A Aurora NACC (14- 5, 84.6) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 H Carthage 9-11 -2 -4 1.60
222 H Calvin 10-11 -1 -1 -0.20
301 A Hope 7-10 -3 -4 1.43
305 A Benedictine (IL) 11- 5 6 3 1.59
311 A Pfeiffer 8-14 -6 -3 -1.88
314 A Guilford 14-11 3 2 0.59
320 H Edgewood 17- 9 8 6 0.00
322 A Beloit 17- 7 10 8 0.00
326 H MSOE 10- 8 2 3 -0.73
329 H Marian (WI) 29- 4 25 11 0.00
402 A Concordia-Wisconsin 13-14 -1 1 -1.59
405 A Lawrence 19- 6 13 6 0.00
412 H Dubuque 7-11 -4 2 -- -5.57
416 A Aurora 9-10 -1 -2 1.30
419 A Cornell College 15- 7 8 7 0.00
423 H Illinois Tech 15- 4 11 3 1.87
426 H MSOE 17- 8 9 3 + 2.27
430 A Aurora 9-12 -3 -2 -0.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Dubuque 7-11 -4 2 -- -5.57
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
426 H MSOE 17- 8 9 3 + 2.27
|
Lake Forest Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adrian |
Adrian |
|
Adrian   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Albertus Magnus |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Albion |
Albion |
|
Albion   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Albright |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Alfred |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Alfred State |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Allegheny |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Alma |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Lake Forest |
Alvernia |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Amherst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
Anderson (IN) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Anna Maria |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Arcadia |
Arcadia |
|
 
| Arcadia |
Augustana |
Lake Forest |
|
Lake Forest   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Aurora |
Aurora |
Aurora |
 
| |
Averett |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Babson |
Babson |
|
 
| Babson |
Baldwin Wallace |
Baldwin Wallace |
|
 
| Baldwin Wallace |
Bates |
Bates |
|
 
| Bates |
Beloit |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Benedictine (IL) |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Berry |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Bethany |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
Brevard |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Bridgewater |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Brockport |
Brockport |
|
 
| Brockport |
Bryn Athyn |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Cairn |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Calvin |
Calvin |
Calvin |
 
| |
Canton |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Capital |
Capital |
|
 
| Capital |
Carroll |
Lake Forest |
|
Lake Forest   6- 2 vs 4- 4 |
|
Carthage |
Carthage |
Carthage |
 
| |
Castleton |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Catholic |
Catholic |
|
 
| Catholic |
Centenary (LA) |
Lake Forest |
|
Lake Forest   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Centenary (NJ) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Centre |
Centre |
|
 
| Centre |
Chatham |
Chatham |
|
 
| Chatham |
Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
 
| Christopher Newport |
Clark |
Clark |
|
 
| Clark |
Clarkson |
Clarkson |
|
 
| Clarkson |
Coast Guard |
Coast Guard |
|
 
| Coast Guard |
Cobleskill |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Colby |
Colby |
|
 
| Colby |
Colorado College |
Colorado College |
|
Colorado College   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Concordia-Wisconsin |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
 
| |
Connecticut College |
Connecticut College |
|
 
| Connecticut College |
Cornell College |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Cortland |
Cortland |
|
 
| Cortland |
Curry |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Dean College |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Delaware Valley |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Delhi |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Denison |
Denison |
|
 
| Denison |
DePauw |
DePauw |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
DePauw |
DeSales |
DeSales |
|
 
| DeSales |
Dickinson |
Dickinson |
|
 
| Dickinson |
Drew |
Drew |
|
 
| Drew |
Dubuque |
Dubuque |
Dubuque |
 
| |
Earlham |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Eastern |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
Eastern Connecticut |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Edgewood |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Elizabethtown |
Elizabethtown |
|
 
| Elizabethtown |
Elmhurst |
Elmhurst |
|
Elmhurst   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Elmira |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Emerson |
Emerson |
|
 
| Emerson |
Emmanuel (MA) |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Endicott |
Endicott |
|
 
| Endicott |
Farmingdale State |
Farmingdale State |
|
 
| Farmingdale State |
FDU-Florham |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Franciscan |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Franklin & Marshall |
Franklin & Marshall |
|
 
| Franklin & Marshall |
Geneseo |
Geneseo |
|
 
| Geneseo |
Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
|
 
| Gettysburg |
Gordon |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Goucher |
Goucher |
|
 
| Goucher |
Greensboro |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Lake Forest |
Grove City |
Grove City |
|
 
| Grove City |
Guilford |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Gwynedd Mercy |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Hamilton |
Hamilton |
|
 
| Hamilton |
Hampden-Sydney |
Hampden-Sydney |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Hampden-Sydney |
Hanover |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lake Forest |
Hartford |
Hartford |
|
 
| Hartford |
Hartwick |
Hartwick |
|
 
| Hartwick |
Haverford |
Haverford |
|
 
| Haverford |
Heidelberg |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Hendrix |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Lake Forest |
Hilbert |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Hiram |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Hood |
Hood |
|
 
| Hood |
Hope |
Hope |
Hope |
 
| |
Huntingdon |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Husson |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Illinois Tech |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Illinois Wesleyan |
Illinois Wesleyan |
|
Illinois Wesleyan   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Immaculata |
Immaculata |
|
 
| Immaculata |
Ithaca |
Ithaca |
|
 
| Ithaca |
John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
Johnson & Wales |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Juniata |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Kalamazoo |
Kalamazoo |
|
Kalamazoo   4- 3 vs 2- 5 |
|
Kean |
Kean |
|
 
| Kean |
Keene State |
Keene State |
|
 
| Keene State |
Kenyon |
Kenyon |
|
 
| Kenyon |
Keuka |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Kings |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
La Roche |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
LaGrange |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Lasell |
Lasell |
|
 
| Lasell |
Lawrence |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Lebanon Valley |
Lebanon Valley |
|
 
| Lebanon Valley |
Lycoming |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Lynchburg |
Maine Maritime |
Maine Maritime |
|
 
| Maine Maritime |
Manhattanville |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Marian (WI) |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Marietta |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Maritime |
Maritime |
|
 
| Maritime |
Mary Washington |
Mary Washington |
|
 
| Mary Washington |
Marymount |
Marymount |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Marymount |
Marywood |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Massachusetts Maritime |
Massachusetts Maritime |
|
 
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Massachusetts-Boston |
Massachusetts-Boston |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Massachusetts-Boston |
McDaniel |
McDaniel |
|
 
| McDaniel |
MCLA |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Merchant Marine |
Merchant Marine |
|
 
| Merchant Marine |
Messiah |
Messiah |
|
 
| Messiah |
Methodist |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Misericordia |
Misericordia |
|
 
| Misericordia |
MIT |
MIT |
|
 
| MIT |
Mitchell |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Montclair State |
Montclair State |
|
 
| Montclair State |
Moravian |
Moravian |
|
 
| Moravian |
Morrisville |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Mount St Mary (NY) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Mount St Vincent |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Mount Union |
Mount Union |
|
 
| Mount Union |
MSOE |
Lake Forest |
Lake Forest |
 
| |
Muhlenberg |
Muhlenberg |
|
 
| Muhlenberg |
Muskingum |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Nazareth |
Nazareth |
|
 
| Nazareth |
Neumann |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
New England College |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
New Paltz |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Nichols |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
North Central |
North Central |
|
North Central   5- 1 vs 2- 4 |
|
Northland |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Lake Forest |
Norwich |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Oberlin |
Oberlin |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Oberlin |
Oglethorpe |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Ohio Northern |
Ohio Northern |
|
 
| Ohio Northern |
Ohio Wesleyan |
Ohio Wesleyan |
|
 
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Oneonta |
Oneonta |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Oneonta |
Oswego |
Oswego |
|
 
| Oswego |
Otterbein |
Otterbein |
|
 
| Otterbein |
Penn College |
Penn College |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Penn College |
Pfeiffer |
Pfeiffer |
Pfeiffer |
 
| |
Piedmont |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Pitt-Bradford |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Plattsburgh |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Plymouth State |
Plymouth State |
|
 
| Plymouth State |
Potsdam |
Potsdam |
|
 
| Potsdam |
Purchase |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Randolph |
Lake Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Randolph-Macon |
Randolph-Macon |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Randolph-Macon |
Regis (MA) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Rhodes |
Rhodes |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rhodes |
RIT |
RIT |
|
 
| RIT |
Rivier |
Rivier |
|
 
| Rivier |
Roanoke |
Roanoke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Roanoke |
Roger Williams |
Roger Williams |
|
 
| Roger Williams |
Rosemont |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
RPI |
RPI |
|
 
| RPI |
Sage |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Salem State |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Salisbury |
Salisbury |
|
 
| Salisbury |
Salve Regina |
Salve Regina |
|
 
| Salve Regina |
Scranton |
Scranton |
|
 
| Scranton |
Sewanee |
Sewanee |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Sewanee |
Shenandoah |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lake Forest |
Skidmore |
Skidmore |
|
 
| Skidmore |
Southern Maine |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Southern Virginia |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Southwestern |
Southwestern |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Southwestern |
Spalding |
Lake Forest |
|
Lake Forest   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Springfield |
Springfield |
|
 
| Springfield |
St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St John Fisher |
St Joseph (CT) |
St Joseph (CT) |
|
 
| St Joseph (CT) |
St Josephs (LI) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
St Josephs (ME) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
|
 
| St Lawrence |
St Marys (MD) |
St Marys (MD) |
|
 
| St Marys (MD) |
St Vincent |
St Vincent |
|
 
| St Vincent |
Stevens |
Stevens |
|
 
| Stevens |
Stevenson |
Stevenson |
|
 
| Stevenson |
Stockton |
Stockton |
|
 
| Stockton |
SUNY Poly |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Susquehanna |
Susquehanna |
|
 
| Susquehanna |
Swarthmore |
Swarthmore |
|
 
| Swarthmore |
Thiel |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Thomas |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Transylvania |
Transylvania |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Transylvania |
Trine |
Trine |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Trine |
Trinity |
Trinity |
|
 
| Trinity |
Tufts |
Tufts |
|
 
| Tufts |
U of New England |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Union |
Union |
|
 
| Union |
Ursinus |
Ursinus |
|
 
| Ursinus |
Utica |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Vassar |
Vassar |
|
 
| Vassar |
Virginia Wesleyan |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lake Forest |
Wabash |
Wabash |
|
 
| Wabash |
Warren Wilson |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Washington & Jefferson |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Washington & Lee |
Washington & Lee |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Washington & Lee |
Washington College |
Washington College |
|
 
| Washington College |
Wentworth |
Wentworth |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Wentworth |
Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
 
| Wesleyan |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
Western New England |
Western New England |
|
 
| Western New England |
Westminster (PA) |
Westminster (PA) |
|
 
| Westminster (PA) |
Wheaton |
Wheaton |
|
 
| Wheaton |
Widener |
Widener |
|
 
| Widener |
Wilkes |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
William Peace |
Lake Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Forest |
Williams |
Williams |
|
 
| Williams |
Wilmington (OH) |
Lake Forest |
|
 
| Lake Forest |
Wittenberg |
Wittenberg |
|
 
| Wittenberg |
Wooster |
Wooster |
|
 
| Wooster |
York |
York |
|
 
| York |
PowerWise = 102

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Carthage (11- 5, 86.5) 9-11 -13.36 26.59 -0.34 0.88 -12.10
0 H Calvin ( 6-10, 83.7) 10-11 -16.16 23.80 -0.34 0.88 -14.57
0 A Hope (11- 5, 86.7) 7-10 -13.21 26.75 0.34 0.88 -11.37
0 A Benedictine (I ( 6-12, 78.9) 11- 5 -21.05 18.91 0.34 0.88 17.00
0 A Pfeiffer (14- 3, 85.4) 8-14 -14.52 25.44 0.34 0.88 -12.52
0 A Guilford ( 5-13, 79.9) 14-11 -20.05 19.91 0.34 0.88 17.88
0 H Edgewood ( 4-11, 77.3) 17- 9 -22.64 17.31 -0.34 0.88 14.99
0 A Beloit ( 4-11, 73.9) 17- 7 -25.96 14.00 0.34 0.88 12.66
0 H MSOE (10- 7, 80.2) 10- 8 -19.69 20.27 -0.34 0.88 17.60
0 H Marian (WI) ( 1-12, 72.2) 29- 4 -27.71 12.24 -0.34 0.88 10.51
0 A Concordia-Wisc (12- 8, 81.7) 13-14 -18.23 21.73 0.34 0.88 -15.80
0 A Lawrence ( 4-11, 76.7) 19- 6 -23.22 16.74 0.34 0.88 15.08
0 H Dubuque (11- 7, 81.4) 7-11 -18.54 21.42 -0.34 0.88 -16.67
0 A Aurora (14- 5, 84.6) 9-10 -15.34 24.62 0.34 0.88 -13.25
0 A Cornell Colleg ( 4-11, 74.9) 15- 7 -24.97 14.99 0.34 0.88 13.54
0 H Illinois Tech ( 8- 9, 79.8) 15- 4 -20.09 19.87 -0.34 0.88 17.25
0 H MSOE (10- 7, 80.2) 17- 8 -19.69 20.27 -0.34 0.88 17.60
0 A Aurora (14- 5, 84.6) 9-12 -15.34 24.62 0.34 0.88 -13.25
------
44.60
|
winning pts = 154.1268 losing points = -109.5245
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------